Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 236.15 | $0.558 | $129.65 | -$2.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 205.53 | $0.327 | $67.21 | 22d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 205.53 |
| $0.327 |
| $112.94 |
| +$45.73 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 30.1 | $0.220 | $4.52 | -$2.11 |
 Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.224 | $1.09 | -$6.62 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.310 | $0.21 | -$0.24 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.090 | $0.01 | -$0.9 |
| sell |
| 147.3 |
| $0.129 |
| $19.03 |
| 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | sell | 441.89 | $0.111 | $49.05 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 560.18 | $0.015 | $8.4 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?Yes | sell | 51.87 | $0.701 | $36.37 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by magic?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.480 | $13.92 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?Yes | sell | 8.39 | $0.900 | $7.55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?Yes | sell | 57.61 | $0.842 | $48.49 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group ATeam Jenz | sell | 20.91 | $0.490 | $10.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?Yes | sell | 15.85 | $0.560 | $8.88 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group ATeam Jenz | buy | 51.33 | $0.480 | $24.64 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group AAmaru Gaming | buy | 20.42 | $0.580 | $11.84 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | sell | 62.17 | $0.998 | $62.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 18.24 | $0.979 | $17.86 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.350 | $14.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | sell | 33.23 | $0.995 | $33.06 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 77.26 | $0.996 | $76.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 38.99 | $0.819 | $31.93 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by magic?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.500 | $3.5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a polar bear?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.090 | $5.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by magic?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.440 | $9.68 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.590 | $12.98 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void?Yes | buy | 15.85 | $0.420 | $6.66 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?Yes | buy | 29.87 | $0.350 | $10.45 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.530 | $23.32 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.725 | $4.34 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 767.37 | $0.160 | $122.78 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 18.01 | $0.723 | $13.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 32.85 | $0.614 | $20.17 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.110 | $8.47 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.017 | $3.4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.180 | $13.86 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.055 | $8.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.85 | $0.140 | $2.36 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.648 | $14.51 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 215.91 | $0.794 | $171.34 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.914 | $10.97 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 39.49 | $0.100 | $3.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | sell | 41.04 | $0.560 | $22.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 10.33 | $0.180 | $1.86 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 20.29 | $0.640 | $12.99 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Democrat" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | sell | 101.54 | $0.999 | $101.44 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.160 | $11.84 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "See You Soon" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | sell | 29.8 | $0.870 | $25.93 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | sell | 11.2 | $0.010 | $0.11 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.210 | $2.38 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.300 | $3.08 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 51.56 | $0.240 | $12.37 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |