Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.08K | $0.897 | $993.6 | +$25.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 237.85 | $0.880 | $209.31 | 23d ago |
 |
| No |
| 880 |
| $0.849 |
| $872.52 |
| +$125.72 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 950 | $0.806 | $821.75 | +$55.75 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 899.99 | $0.810 | $787.49 | +$58.5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.798 | $748.35 | +$30.15 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1K | $0.590 | $735 | +$145 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 700 | $0.730 | $605.5 | +$94.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 800 | $0.630 | $572 | +$68 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 800 | $0.650 | $540 | +$20 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 600 | $0.860 | $513 | -$3 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 800 | $0.610 | $380 | -$108 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 429.99 | $0.720 | $346.14 | +$36.55 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 350 | $0.890 | $320.25 | +$8.75 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 350 | $0.700 | $316.75 | +$71.75 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 350 | $0.830 | $299.25 | +$8.75 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 350 | $0.870 | $295.75 | -$8.75 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.880 | $265.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 800 | $0.610 | $172 | -$316 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 118.75 | $0.760 | $106.87 | +$16.62 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.860 | $50.75 | -$250.25 |
| buy |
| 350 |
| $0.830 |
| $290.5 |
| 23d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.873 | $261.9 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 800 | $0.610 | $488 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 431.67 | $0.640 | $276.27 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 188.9 | $0.599 | $113.15 | 29d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.820 | $246 | 29d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 14.64 | $0.760 | $11.13 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.860 | $301 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.870 | $304.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 379.94 | $0.940 | $357.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.860 | $516 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 480 | $0.880 | $422.4 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 600 | $0.910 | $546 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 68.83 | $0.780 | $53.69 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No | buy | 79.74 | $0.720 | $57.41 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 175.48 | $0.769 | $134.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.390 | $312 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 800 | $0.770 | $616 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 600 | $0.872 | $523.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 650 | $0.800 | $520 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.890 | $1.07K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.700 | $245 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 700 | $0.730 | $511 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.840 | $504 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 600 | $0.890 | $534 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 28.02 | $0.835 | $23.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.860 | $17.32 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.946 | $520.3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 280 | $0.910 | $254.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.841 | $504.6 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.830 | $207.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.630 | $504 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No | buy | 100 | $0.944 | $94.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.810 | $567 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.930 | $251.1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 309.75 | $0.820 | $253.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 791.73 | $0.798 | $631.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 899.99 | $0.810 | $728.99 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 800 | $0.920 | $736 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.770 | $770 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 999.99 | $0.807 | $806.99 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.930 | $558 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 900 | $0.860 | $774 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 201.05 | $0.830 | $166.87 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.880 | $528 | Jun 23, 2026 |