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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 181.82 | $0.550 | $162.73 | +$62.73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.45 | $0.690 | $70 | 18d ago |
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| No |
| 127 |
| $0.787 |
| $124.97 |
| +$24.97 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 128.21 | $0.780 | $122.44 | +$22.44 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 133.33 | $0.750 | $122 | +$22 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 123.46 | $0.810 | $110.49 | +$10.49 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 119.05 | $0.840 | $104.17 | +$4.17 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 97.5 | $0.718 | $73.61 | +$3.61 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 90.91 | $0.770 | $59.55 | -$10.45 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 101.45 | $0.690 | $45.14 | -$24.86 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.98 | $0.870 | $43.45 | +$3.45 |
| sell |
| 17.64 |
| $0.570 |
| $10.05 |
| 18d ago |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | 18d ago |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 97.5 | $0.718 | $70 | 25d ago |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.770 | $70 | 25d ago |
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 90.95 | $0.920 | $83.67 | 25d ago |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 161.52 | $0.200 | $32.3 | 25d ago |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 135.13 | $0.560 | $75.67 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 215.05 | $0.999 | $214.83 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 127 | $0.787 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 392.15 | $0.999 | $391.76 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.55 | $0.905 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 90.95 | $0.880 | $80 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.670 | $30.45 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.98 | $0.870 | $40 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?Yes | sell | 41.47 | $0.890 | $36.91 | May 29, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.94 | $0.790 | $75 | May 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | May 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | May 24, 2026 |
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 53.36 | $0.469 | $25 | May 16, 2026 |
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.630 | $60 | May 16, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 130.43 | $0.910 | $118.69 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 63.97 | $0.938 | $60 | May 16, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.79 | $0.730 | $40 | May 10, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | May 8, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 93.65 | $0.534 | $50 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?Yes | buy | 41.48 | $0.723 | $30 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?Yes | buy | 98.91 | $0.303 | $30 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 134.83 | $0.710 | $95.75 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?No | buy | 110.36 | $0.453 | $50 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 114.28 | $0.971 | $110.95 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?No | buy | 119.78 | $0.668 | $80 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 149.33 | $0.134 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.660 | $30 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 114.29 | $0.700 | $80 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 186.56 | $0.001 | $0.19 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?No | buy | 82.46 | $0.780 | $64.32 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 70.68 | $0.910 | $64.32 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No | buy | 156.6 | $0.570 | $89.26 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 191.06 | $0.523 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 147.8 | $0.557 | $82.35 | Apr 14, 2026 |