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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 55.99 | $0.874 | $53.83 | +$4.88 |
 Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.952 | $12.53 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.935 |
| $29.67 |
| +$1.62 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 27 | $0.940 | $26.07 | +$0.69 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 23.33 | $0.962 | $22.99 | +$0.55 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 17 | $0.965 | $16.6 | +$0.2 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 550 | $0.120 | $9.63 | -$56.38 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.830 |
| $4.15 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 15.55 | $0.990 | $15.39 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.860 | $18.06 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.999 | $21.98 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.78 | $0.976 | $21.26 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 17 | $0.965 | $16.41 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.962 | $22.44 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 26 | $0.994 | $25.84 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.979 | $20.56 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.986 | $15.78 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.990 | $34.65 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?Yes | buy | 574.24 | $0.002 | $1.15 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 21.99 | $0.850 | $18.69 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?No | buy | 24 | $0.970 | $23.28 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.973 | $21.41 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | buy | 17.23 | $0.992 | $17.09 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.951 | $15.22 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 93.28 | $0.055 | $5.13 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.604 | $12.08 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 33 | $0.964 | $31.81 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 30-60 years in prison?No | buy | 48 | $0.930 | $44.64 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.940 | $25.38 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 34 | $0.890 | $30.26 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 41.38 | $0.950 | $39.31 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.936 | $46.8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.974 | $24.35 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.967 | $31.91 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 141.05 | $0.050 | $7.01 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Interstellar object confirmed aliens?No | buy | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.020 | $23.37 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 48.99 | $0.996 | $48.79 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?No | buy | 23 | $0.999 | $22.98 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | buy | 24 | $0.999 | $23.98 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 53.74 | $0.978 | $52.56 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.960 | $33.6 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 30.24 | $0.992 | $30 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?No | buy | 33 | $0.996 | $32.87 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025?No | buy | 26 | $0.996 | $25.9 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 38.6 | $0.994 | $38.39 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 24.96 | $0.964 | $24.06 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 59.03 | $0.070 | $4.13 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?Up | buy | 16 | $0.989 | $15.82 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?Up | buy | 33 | $0.992 | $32.74 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.220 | $2.64 | Oct 27, 2025 |