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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 8.33 | $0.600 | $6.96 | +$1.96 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.69 |
| $0.550 |
| $6.73 |
| +$2.5 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 7.58 | $0.660 | $6.56 | +$1.55 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $6.12 | +$1.12 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $6.03 | +$1.03 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.48 | +$0.48 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.46 | +$0.46 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 5.35 | $0.935 | $4.77 | -$0.24 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $2.97 | -$2.03 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.560 | $0.63 | -$2.18 |
| sell |
| 20.83 |
| $0.300 |
| $6.25 |
| May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.950 | $5.72 | May 31, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.850 | $5.12 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.055 | $4.59 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.060 | $0.48 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.800 | $5.34 | May 30, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 6.76 | $0.750 | $5.07 | May 29, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | buy | 135.13 | $0.037 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 27.78 | $0.150 | $4.17 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.072 | $1.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | sell | 10.99 | $0.090 | $0.99 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | sell | 17.23 | $0.060 | $1.03 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 12.2 | $0.380 | $4.64 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.200 | $3.12 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 55.56 | $0.011 | $0.61 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.500 | $3.97 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | buy | 17.23 | $0.290 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.71 | $0.150 | $2.21 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.320 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.81 | $0.760 | $18.1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia StarodubtsevaYulia Starodubtseva | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.86 | $0.220 | $3.93 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.590 | $4.76 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.837 | $4.44 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No | sell | 5.56 | $0.810 | $4.5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.943 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.78 | $0.105 | $2.93 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.76 | $0.780 | $5.27 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.42 | $0.923 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.922 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |