Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 625 | $0.160 | $103.13 | +$3.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 600 |
| $0.150 |
| $81 |
| -$9 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.150 | $55 | -$95 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.270 | $20.5 | -$6.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.217 | $18.75 | -$2.95 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.138 | $17.7 | -$9.9 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 446.28 | $0.035 | $16.51 | +$0.89 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 908.22 | $0.017 | $14.08 | -$1.45 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $8.75 | +$2.75 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.183 | $7.95 | -$10.35 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.013 | $6.5 | -$6.8 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $6.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 195.23 | $0.017 | $5.95 | +$2.65 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 66.9 | $0.037 | $5.32 | +$2.84 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.019 | $3.7 | -$0.1 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.054 | $1.7 | -$9.22 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.008 | $1.5 | -$6.5 |
 Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.007 | $0.6 | -$1.5 |
 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.005 | $0.5 | -$4.5 |
| buy |
| 423.73 |
| $0.059 |
| $25 |
| 15d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 993.63 | $0.150 | $149.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.054 | $54 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 33.89 | $0.752 | $25.49 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.990 | $990 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | May 17, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.072 | $72 | May 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.274 | $27.4 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.020 | $12 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.028 | $11.2 | May 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | May 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 14.42 | $0.523 | $7.54 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 5.5K | $0.003 | $16.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.039 | $19.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.013 | $13 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.068 | $7.48 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.067 | $6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 300 | $0.177 | $53.1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.179 | $1.32 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 17.01 | $0.173 | $2.94 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 472.85 | $0.240 | $113.43 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | buy | 12 | $0.100 | $1.2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.150 | $60 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.060 | $18 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 502.33 | $0.011 | $5.49 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.290 | $33.35 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.198 | $0.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.201 | $40.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 300 | $0.625 | $187.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 200 | $0.555 | $111 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.053 | $10.66 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 500 | $0.382 | $191 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | Apr 8, 2026 |