Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on May 31?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.996 | $3.09 | May 28, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 3.21 |
| $0.998 |
| $3.2 |
| May 28, 2025 |
 Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?No | sell | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.999 | $3.1 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in April?No | sell | 6.7 | $0.997 | $6.68 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $300 in April?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.998 | $6.8 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 4 | $0.998 | $3.99 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.989 | $2.02 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?No | sell | 3 | $0.989 | $2.97 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be between $4.50 and $4.75 in February?No | sell | 3.13 | $0.993 | $3.11 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?No | sell | 6.22 | $0.996 | $6.2 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be between $4.50 and $4.75 in February?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.994 | $3.12 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?No | buy | 6.23 | $0.997 | $6.21 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.998 | $8.48 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?No | sell | 4.32 | $0.998 | $4.31 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.999 | $4.32 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.999 | $8.61 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?No | sell | 10.02 | $0.996 | $9.98 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.016 | $0.02 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90+?Yes | buy | 0.61 | $0.033 | $0.02 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.260 | $0.02 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Luigi Mangione not extradited to New York by February?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.064 | $0.02 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Is Luigi Mangione YouTube channel real?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Nine Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?Yes | buy | 0.29 | $0.070 | $0.02 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.260 | $0.02 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will US add more than 300k jobs in December 2024?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.050 | $0.02 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.010 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.670 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Hegseth say "Fake news" during the interview?Yes | buy | 0.34 | $0.059 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 0.09 | $0.220 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next French Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.260 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 South Korean President impeached in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.740 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.250 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 East coast port strike in January?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.510 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.15 | $0.130 | $0.02 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Mariah Carey be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 15-19 times Nov 15-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 30-34 times Nov 15-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 35-39 times Nov 15-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 40-49 times Nov 15-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 50-59 times Nov 15-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 60 or more times Nov 15-22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2024 |