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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1K | $0.870 | $865 | -$5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 104 | $0.990 | $102.96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.78K |
| $0.999 |
| $3.78K |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 699.57 | $0.998 | $698.17 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 3.69K | $0.999 | $3.68K | Jun 7, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.68K | $0.989 | $3.64K | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.996 | $697.2 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 3.5K | $0.996 | $3.48K | May 15, 2026 |
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver | buy | 70 | $0.999 | $69.93 | May 10, 2026 |
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver | buy | 999.98 | $0.999 | $998.98 | May 2, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?Yes | buy | 150.3 | $0.998 | $150 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Andre Ilagan vs. James McCabe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 | buy | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.32K | $0.998 | $3.31K | Apr 29, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.995 | $10.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.996 | $3.32K | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.2 | $0.997 | $78.96 | Apr 11, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 3.25K | $0.998 | $3.25K | Apr 9, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 3.24K | $0.999 | $3.23K | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?Yes | buy | 469.86 | $0.997 | $468.54 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 609.7 | $0.999 | $609.09 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 390.3 | $0.998 | $389.52 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.980 | $3.17K | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)No | buy | 165.31 | $0.994 | $164.32 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.48 | $0.999 | $101.38 | Mar 13, 2026 |
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.999 | $3.12K | Mar 4, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.12K | $0.999 | $3.12K | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 750.01 | $0.999 | $749.26 | Mar 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 3.11K | $0.999 | $3.11K | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 3.09K | $0.999 | $3.09K | Feb 14, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.6 | $0.999 | $102.5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.08K | $0.999 | $3.07K | Feb 4, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.07K | $0.990 | $3.04K | Feb 2, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 3.04K | $0.999 | $3.03K | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.999 | $3.03K | Jan 30, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.03K | $0.999 | $3.03K | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?No | buy | 3.02K | $0.999 | $3.02K | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 3.02K | $0.999 | $3.01K | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.998 | $3.01K | Jan 16, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.999 | $3K | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?No | buy | 3K | $0.999 | $3K | Jan 8, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 3K | $0.999 | $2.99K | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 371.15 | $0.999 | $370.78 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.999 | $1.38K | Jan 5, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.999 | $1.18K | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-04?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.999 | $1.18K | Jan 4, 2026 |