Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 208.36 | $0.264 | $95.12 | +$40.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 449.15 | $0.223 | $100 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 58.5 |
| $0.855 |
| $58.03 |
| +$8.03 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 47.65 | $0.525 | $42.88 | +$17.88 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | Yes | 103.61 | $0.314 | $39.22 | +$6.72 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 47.15 | $0.424 | $23.62 | +$3.62 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 12.35 | $0.810 | $11.87 | +$1.87 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | Yes | 103.64 | $0.096 | $9.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 66.27 | $0.453 | $8.61 | -$21.39 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $1.96 | -$8.04 |
 Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 400.55 | $0.075 | $0.2 | -$29.8 |
| buy |
| 121.95 |
| $0.410 |
| $50 |
| Apr 10, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?Up | buy | 55.56 | $0.540 | $30 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.65 | $0.525 | $25 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 66.27 | $0.453 | $30 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.7 | $0.535 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 27.17 | $0.184 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 62.65 | $0.798 | $50 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | buy | 28.25 | $0.035 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | buy | 32.8 | $0.061 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | buy | 54.79 | $0.073 | $4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | buy | 35.39 | $0.367 | $13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | buy | 59.02 | $0.169 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.21 | $0.292 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 155.35 | $0.097 | $15 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | buy | 45.54 | $0.439 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | sell | 55.79 | $0.344 | $19.17 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | buy | 22.77 | $0.439 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | sell | 113.46 | $0.161 | $18.21 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.696 | $8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.098 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 186.48 | $0.180 | $33.57 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.880 | $80 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.370 | $30 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | sell | 290.43 | $0.070 | $20.33 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?Yes | buy | 26.83 | $0.559 | $15 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?Yes | buy | 53.45 | $0.374 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.25T and 1.50T?Yes | buy | 95.52 | $0.105 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.242 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 89.13 | $0.236 | $21.07 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 89.02 | $0.337 | $30 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?No | buy | 35.25 | $0.851 | $30 | Mar 27, 2026 |