Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.74 | $0.996 | $10.69 | -$0.01 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.996 | $10.7 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 3 |
| $0.710 |
| $1.64 |
| -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 3 |
| $0.710 |
| $2.13 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 12.81 | $0.999 | $12.8 | 18d ago |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.002 | $1.04 | 18d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.91 | $0.999 | $13.9 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14?No | buy | 91.89 | $0.999 | $91.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 91.79 | $0.999 | $91.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 93.99 | $0.999 | $93.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | buy | 93.89 | $0.999 | $93.8 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?Yes | buy | 93.59 | $0.999 | $93.5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 93.79 | $0.999 | $93.7 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?Yes | buy | 93.69 | $0.999 | $93.6 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.002 | $2.11 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No | buy | 95.8 | $0.999 | $95.7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?No | buy | 95.74 | $0.999 | $95.65 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No | buy | 95.66 | $0.999 | $95.56 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?No | buy | 95.57 | $0.999 | $95.47 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 95.48 | $0.999 | $95.38 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 95.38 | $0.999 | $95.28 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 17?No | buy | 96.69 | $0.999 | $96.59 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 9?No | buy | 96.59 | $0.999 | $96.49 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?No | buy | 96.49 | $0.999 | $96.39 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?No | buy | 96.4 | $0.999 | $96.3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?No | buy | 93.91 | $0.997 | $93.63 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 1?No | buy | 96.02 | $0.999 | $95.92 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.47 | $0.932 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 13?No | buy | 95.85 | $0.999 | $95.75 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 95.76 | $0.999 | $95.66 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 2?Yes | buy | 95.66 | $0.999 | $95.56 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 26?No | buy | 95.57 | $0.999 | $95.47 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 95.47 | $0.995 | $94.99 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 94.99 | $0.999 | $94.9 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Yes | buy | 441.92 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on December 12?Yes | buy | 205.5 | $0.007 | $1.4 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 17.03 | $0.998 | $17 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5?Yes | buy | 17.05 | $0.997 | $17 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 5?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.999 | $13 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 19?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 18?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or higher on November 17?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.996 | $1.29 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.999 | $15.41 | Nov 6, 2025 |