Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.62 |
| $0.931 |
| $13.61 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 16.28 | $0.173 | $2.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?No | buy | 52.38 | $0.210 | $11 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 16.28 | $0.737 | $12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No | sell | 27.45 | $0.935 | $25.67 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.945 | $11 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | sell | 11.13 | $0.948 | $10.55 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?No | buy | 9.88 | $0.810 | $8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | sell | 18.98 | $0.634 | $12.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.720 | $8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.810 | $6 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?No | buy | 27.45 | $0.437 | $12 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.584 | $6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.539 | $6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 12.84 | $0.779 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?No | buy | 16.37 | $0.611 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.773 | $8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No | sell | 33.51 | $0.941 | $31.53 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?No | buy | 17.81 | $0.480 | $8.55 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?No | buy | 17.82 | $0.510 | $9.09 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.933 | $8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.391 | $5.72 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.76 | $0.620 | $9.15 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.784 | $15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.916 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Filippo Boscagli win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election?No | buy | 22.6 | $0.191 | $4.32 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Mauro Gattinoni win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election?No | buy | 21.66 | $0.820 | $17.76 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.480 | $12 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?No | buy | 20.01 | $0.750 | $15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?No | buy | 21.62 | $0.370 | $8 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No | buy | 33.51 | $0.448 | $15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 16.44 | $0.608 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.779 | $6 | Jun 4, 2026 |