Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.710 | $3.63 | -$0.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.700 | $13.3 | Apr 21, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1 |
| $0.926 |
| $1 |
| +$0.07 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 3 | $0.360 | $0.63 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.650 | $0.61 | -$0.05 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 1 | $0.370 | $0.18 | -$0.2 |
| sell |
| 24 |
| $0.680 |
| $16.32 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.680 | $6.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 571 | $0.570 | $325.47 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 72 | $0.280 | $20.16 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 170 | $0.540 | $91.8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 342 | $0.670 | $229.14 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 342 | $0.690 | $235.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 727 | $0.750 | $545.25 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?No | sell | 22.11 | $0.770 | $17.02 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?No | sell | 233.89 | $0.770 | $180.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?No | buy | 256 | $0.790 | $202.24 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?No | buy | 186 | $0.770 | $143.22 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | sell | 252 | $0.280 | $70.56 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | buy | 781 | $0.740 | $577.94 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No | sell | 123 | $0.670 | $82.41 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 214 | $0.730 | $156.22 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 214 | $0.750 | $160.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 307 | $0.150 | $46.05 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 67 | $0.870 | $58.29 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 145 | $0.870 | $126.15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 307 | $0.140 | $42.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 118 | $0.660 | $77.88 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 741 | $0.560 | $414.96 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No | sell | 864 | $0.326 | $281.69 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No | buy | 123 | $0.660 | $81.18 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | buy | 275 | $0.280 | $77 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 430 | $0.770 | $331.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 366 | $0.650 | $237.9 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | sell | 668 | $0.630 | $420.84 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 430 | $0.780 | $335.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "Nuclear" or "Iran" during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 270 | $0.370 | $99.9 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 484 | $0.680 | $329.12 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?No | sell | 18 | $0.391 | $7.04 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No | sell | 235 | $0.620 | $145.7 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 396 | $0.740 | $293.04 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 571 | $0.660 | $376.86 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 237 | $0.840 | $199.08 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 259 | $0.840 | $217.56 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 571 | $0.670 | $382.57 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.860 | $6.88 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 206 | $0.850 | $175.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 53 | $0.170 | $9.01 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No | sell | 82 | $0.780 | $63.96 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 387 | $0.690 | $267.03 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 562 | $0.680 | $382.16 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 949 | $0.680 | $645.32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No | sell | 24 | $0.660 | $15.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No | sell | 639 | $0.640 | $408.96 | Jan 10, 2026 |