Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 8.18 | $0.856 | $6.99 | -$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.573 | $1 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.7 |
| $0.230 |
| $2.3 |
| +$0.3 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.28 | $0.467 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.96 | $0.505 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.132 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1.91 | +$0.91 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.660 | $1.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.31 | $0.763 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.573 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.26 | $0.793 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
| buy |
| 3.45 |
| $0.290 |
| $1 |
| 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AAurora Gaming | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 9d ago |
 US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob FearnleyMartin Landaluce | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsKarmine Corp | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 10d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 10d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.860 | $1.19 | 10d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.412 | $1.57 | 10d ago |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.983 | $3.85 | 10d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.829 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.730 | $5.4 | 12d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.474 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.132 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.683 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.793 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.763 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.263 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |