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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 612.38 | $0.376 | $217.39 | -$12.61 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 172.41 |
| $0.290 |
| $156.03 |
| +$106.03 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 277.78 | $0.360 | $145.83 | +$45.83 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.100 | $75 | -$25 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 107.14 | $0.280 | $21 | -$9 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 80.65 | $0.620 | $10.89 | -$39.11 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 176.47 | $0.170 | $3.09 | -$26.91 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $20 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.188 | $20 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.009 | $10.77 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.055 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 581.4 | $0.086 | $50 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 307.69 | $0.650 | $200 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 882.35 | $0.340 | $300 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 342.11 | $0.380 | $130 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.79 | $0.611 | $50 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 222.22 | $0.480 | $106.67 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 188.66 | $0.530 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 13.21 | $0.530 | $7 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 135.71 | $0.368 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 228.31 | $0.219 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.360 | $80 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 104.65 | $0.860 | $90 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 |