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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September? | No | 1.89 | $0.920 | $1.74 | $0 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in September?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.920 | $1.74 | 4d ago |
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| Yes |
| 1.57 |
| $0.979 |
| $1.52 |
| -$0.02 |
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.49 | -$0.01 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.914 | $1.37 | +$0.08 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.29 | $0.875 | $0.93 | -$1.07 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 5.45 | $0.550 | $0.79 | -$2.21 |
| buy |
| 1.63 |
| $0.920 |
| $1.5 |
| 8d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.987 | $2.16 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.510 | $0.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.966 | $1.75 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.875 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.979 | $1.54 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.978 | $1.56 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.968 | $1.69 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | May 26, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.983 | $5.28 | May 20, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.914 | $1.29 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.920 | $2.59 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.966 | $5.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.985 | $2.48 | Mar 18, 2026 |