Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.308 | $1.54 | 8d ago |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.900 |
| $4.5 |
| 9d ago |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.996 | $39.84 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No | sell | 17.66 | $0.530 | $9.36 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.489 | $19.56 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No | buy | 30 | $0.529 | $15.87 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?No | buy | 25 | $0.580 | $14.5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 139.57 | $0.067 | $9.35 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.999 | $299.7 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.974 | $194.8 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.974 | $97.38 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.179 | $35.9 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.450 | $10.35 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.450 | $10.35 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.037 | $11.1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.929 | $92.9 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 79.67 | $0.107 | $8.52 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10.02 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.051 | $15.3 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.823 | $37.04 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.051 | $5.1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.045 | $8.98 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.065 | $19.37 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $94.95 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before May?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.473 | $70.95 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.460 | $460 | Sep 17, 2024 |