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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 23.53 | $0.042 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 117.54 | $0.110 | $12.93 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 19 |
| $0.053 |
| $0.04 |
| -$0.96 |
 Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.024 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
| sell |
| 1.92 |
| $0.470 |
| $0.9 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 164.04 | $0.001 | $0.16 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 4.58 | $0.533 | $2.44 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.268 | $2.09 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?Yes | sell | 268.5 | $0.001 | $0.27 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.003 | $0.25 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.050 | $0.42 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1 | $0.570 | $0.57 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.310 | $0.94 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.151 | $1.16 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.180 | $1.38 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.260 | $1.37 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2 | $0.060 | $0.12 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$95 in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.412 | $2.71 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.310 | $1.82 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $95-$100 in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.46 | $0.360 | $1.61 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.220 | $1.38 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.960 | $1.26 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.160 | $0.94 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.090 | $0.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?Yes | sell | 4.06 | $0.130 | $0.53 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.090 | $0.69 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.035 | $0.76 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.210 | $0.64 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.320 | $0.82 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.300 | $0.79 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.200 | $0.83 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.260 | $0.84 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 22.47 | $0.085 | $1.91 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.070 | $3.18 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 14.85 | $0.300 | $4.46 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 26.62 | $0.663 | $17.64 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.290 | $3.41 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.790 | $7.02 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 8.49 | $0.330 | $2.8 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.480 | $0.98 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 27.66 | $0.440 | $12.17 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.246 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |