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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 190 | $0.530 | $139.65 | +$38.95 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.530 | $100.7 | 26d ago |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.260 |
| $80.5 |
| +$54.5 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 759.44 | $0.177 | $75.18 | -$59.25 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 168 | $0.182 | $70.81 | +$40.24 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 54.9 | $0.080 | $0.33 | -$4.06 |
| sell |
| 632 |
| $0.165 |
| $104.14 |
| 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.182 | $1.54 | 26d ago |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 139.84 | $0.820 | $114.67 | 26d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.130 | $17.68 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?No | buy | 63 | $0.492 | $31 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 UK Recession in 2026?Yes | sell | 436.76 | $0.098 | $42.74 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.130 | $17.68 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 92.06 | $0.180 | $16.57 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.182 | $4.55 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.040 | $9.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes | buy | 204 | $0.032 | $6.53 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes | buy | 172.5 | $0.026 | $4.43 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Yes | buy | 190.99 | $0.014 | $2.67 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.113 | $67.66 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.230 | $138 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.030 | $38.41 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 441.1 | $0.053 | $23.54 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 785.64 | $0.115 | $90.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.300 | $36 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.004 | $0.16 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.46 | $0.046 | $2.51 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.047 | $21.15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 248.09 | $0.182 | $45.16 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 206.08 | $0.397 | $81.81 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 40.75 | $0.106 | $4.32 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 173.08 | $0.107 | $18.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 81.63 | $0.400 | $32.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 430.34 | $0.082 | $35.48 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 95.21 | $0.111 | $10.57 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | sell | 142.37 | $0.790 | $112.47 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 49.34 | $0.777 | $38.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 65.5 | $0.894 | $58.53 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.300 | $36 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 370 | $0.590 | $218.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 25.2 | $0.509 | $12.83 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 50.37 | $0.510 | $25.69 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 5 | $0.509 | $2.55 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.509 | $4.08 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 5 | $0.501 | $2.51 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?No | sell | 130 | $0.030 | $3.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?No | sell | 270 | $0.001 | $0.27 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 16.25 | $0.645 | $10.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 5 | $0.612 | $3.06 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?Yes | sell | 6.35 | $0.310 | $1.97 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?No | buy | 270 | $0.070 | $18.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.190 | $11.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |