Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 157.97 |
| $0.091 |
| $14.38 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 2?No | buy | 14.56 | $0.013 | $0.19 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?No | buy | 728.89 | $0.001 | $0.73 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 44.67 | $0.045 | $2 | May 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.51 | $0.065 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 684.46 | $0.007 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 547.6 | $0.009 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 28?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 28?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 406.35 | $0.049 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?No | buy | 57.83 | $0.430 | $24.87 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 215 | $0.017 | $3.66 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.14 | $0.029 | $2.01 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?No | buy | 99.98 | $0.998 | $99.78 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.064 | $10.3 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 18.56 | $0.500 | $9.28 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETDown | buy | 14.82 | $0.640 | $9.48 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETDown | buy | 123.73 | $0.070 | $8.66 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp | buy | 9.08 | $0.360 | $3.27 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 86.32 | $0.050 | $4.32 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?No | buy | 30.76 | $0.150 | $4.61 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "TikTok" during TPUSA events on April 17?Yes | buy | 16.05 | $0.300 | $4.81 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Gay" during TPUSA events on April 17?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.140 | $3.78 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "No No No" during TPUSA events on April 17?Yes | buy | 12.36 | $0.380 | $4.69 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during TPUSA events on April 17?No | buy | 12.34 | $0.370 | $4.57 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Lunatic" or "Lunacy" during TPUSA events on April 17?No | buy | 14.21 | $0.340 | $4.83 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" during TPUSA events on April 17?No | buy | 14.04 | $0.200 | $2.81 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Pope" during TPUSA events on April 17?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.290 | $1.64 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during TPUSA events on April 17?Yes | buy | 78.61 | $0.060 | $4.72 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?No | buy | 52.73 | $0.091 | $4.8 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.090 | $5.04 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?No | sell | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.013 | $0.07 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 768.93 | $0.020 | $15 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 2.13 | $0.017 | $0.04 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | sell | 7 | $0.127 | $0.89 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | buy | 7 | $0.153 | $1.07 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 24.13 | $0.650 | $15.68 | Apr 11, 2026 |