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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.074 | $1.11 | Jun 10, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 431.74 |
| $0.078 |
| $33.68 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.083 | $1.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Yes | sell | 23.09 | $0.036 | $0.83 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes | sell | 17.64 | $0.100 | $1.76 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.080 | $1.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?No | sell | 21.42 | $0.120 | $2.57 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 13.79 | $0.220 | $3.03 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 26.08 | $0.130 | $3.39 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.090 | $3.38 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Yes | sell | 22.47 | $0.162 | $3.64 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.114 | $11.38 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.44 | $0.076 | $4.84 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes | sell | 25.83 | $0.190 | $4.91 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 521.12 | $0.076 | $39.45 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.56 | $0.073 | $1.43 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.97 | $0.072 | $2.95 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.97 | $0.223 | $4.67 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 87.14 | $0.150 | $13.07 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.36 | $0.069 | $2.72 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.068 | $7.55 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | sell | 139.78 | $0.120 | $16.77 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.060 | $18 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.330 | $66 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?No | sell | 30.61 | $0.487 | $14.91 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.350 | $25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.360 | $28.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.059 | $47 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.6 | $0.029 | $1.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.057 | $11.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 172.49 | $0.056 | $9.66 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.055 | $2.64 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 74.07 | $0.580 | $42.96 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.140 | $18.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | sell | 80 | $0.640 | $51.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 221.43 | $0.290 | $64.21 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.260 | $15.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 58.13 | $0.450 | $26.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 209.99 | $0.310 | $65.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |