Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | +$0 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1AM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.990 | $4.83 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.86 |
| $0.999 |
| $4.79 |
| -$0.07 |
| Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 4.86 | $0.999 | $4.79 | -$0.07 |
| Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 4.86 | $0.999 | $4.79 | -$0.07 |
| Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 4.86 | $0.999 | $4.73 | -$0.13 |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 4.86 | $0.999 | $4.73 | -$0.13 |
| Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 4.86 | $0.999 | $4.65 | -$0.21 |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 4.86 | $0.999 | $4.62 | -$0.24 |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 4.87 | $0.997 | $0.73 | -$4.13 |
| buy |
| 6.12 |
| $0.780 |
| $4.77 |
| 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3AM ETUp | buy | 4.77 | $0.999 | $4.77 | 1d ago |
 Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | 3d ago |
 Will SPD win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | 3d ago |
 Will Naomi Davison win the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.999 | $4.77 | 6d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in August?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.999 | $4.84 | 9d ago |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.999 | $4.85 | 9d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 4.89 | $0.991 | $4.85 | 9d ago |
 Will Alessandro Bastoni play for Bayern Munich next?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | 10d ago |
 Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on August 29?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.999 | $4.85 | 11d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.990 | $4.85 | 11d ago |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $490 on August 26?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.999 | $4.8 | 14d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | 20d ago |
 Will Kevin Batdorf win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | 22d ago |
 Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.990 | $4.79 | 24d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | 24d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.998 | $4.78 | 25d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.964 | $4.78 | 25d ago |
 Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 5)?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.999 | $4.8 | 27d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 30%?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.994 | $4.8 | 28d ago |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 29?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.999 | $4.77 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No | buy | 4.86 | $0.982 | $4.77 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Travelers Championship?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $410-$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.999 | $4.78 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.999 | $2.01 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.988 | $4.72 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.995 | $4.69 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.985 | $4.7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.82 | $0.999 | $4.82 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.996 | $4.82 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.998 | $4.82 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 4.8 | $0.999 | $4.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will "Lorde" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.990 | $4.79 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.999 | $4.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.996 | $4.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $7.5B?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.998 | $4.79 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Don Lemon charges dropped?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.992 | $4.79 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.999 | $4.83 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will AutoZone Q3 domestic same store sales growth be between 5.5% and 6.5%?No | buy | 4.83 | $0.999 | $4.83 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will "The Apothecary Diaries Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.998 | $4.75 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Bilibili Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?No | buy | 4.75 | $0.999 | $4.75 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.999 | $4.79 | May 20, 2026 |