Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.3 | $0.593 | $23.66 | +$8.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 12.32 |
| $0.812 |
| $11.46 |
| +$1.46 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.62 | $0.520 | $7.45 | +$2.45 |
Japan recession in 2026? | No | 7.67 | $0.587 | $7.17 | +$2.67 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.380 | $7.04 | +$2.04 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $6.45 | +$1.45 |
US recession by end of 2026? | No | 6.49 | $0.770 | $6.01 | +$1.01 |
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5.67 | +$0.67 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.56 | +$0.56 |
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 6.3 | $0.794 | $5.35 | +$0.35 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.33 | +$0.33 |
New pandemic in 2026? | No | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.29 | +$0.29 |
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | No | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $4.23 | -$0.77 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.440 | $3.12 | -$1.88 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.580 | $0.65 | -$4.35 |
| buy |
| 12.2 |
| $0.410 |
| $5 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.44 | $0.777 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 11.68 | $0.223 | $2.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 89.8 | $0.150 | $13.47 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.830 | $5.19 | Jun 14, 2026 |
New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No | buy | 6.3 | $0.794 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.69 | $0.956 | $15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 13.08 | $0.999 | $13.07 | May 31, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?Yes | sell | 17.14 | $0.562 | $9.64 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.961 | $11.44 | May 31, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 14.29 | $0.997 | $14.25 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.985 | $14.07 | May 31, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.650 | $15.85 | May 31, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 33.17 | $0.700 | $23.22 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 66.38 | $0.075 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes | buy | 18.06 | $0.277 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |