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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $1.62 | -$0.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.39 |
| $0.720 |
| $1.3 |
| +$0.3 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 1.33 | $0.754 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.773 | $1.15 | +$0.16 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 1.05 |
| $0.950 |
| $1 |
| May 22, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.899 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.590 | $1.34 | May 22, 2026 |
 Another Canada election called by June 30?No | sell | 2.58 | $0.973 | $2.51 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.843 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.755 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Men's Group A - Czechia vs. CanadaCanada | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.1 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.322 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Another Canada election called by June 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Another Canada election called by June 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Another MP leaves Conservative Party of Canada by December 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Another Canada election called in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will New Zealand win?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |