Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.886 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.7 |
| $0.840 |
| $3.11 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 UFC 318: Will Holloway win by decision?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.990 | $7.07 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| UFC 318: Will Holloway win by submission?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.108 | $2 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| UFC 318: Will Poirier win by decision?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| UFC 318: Will Holloway win by decision?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierPoirier | buy | 5.23 | $0.470 | $2.46 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.022 | $0.16 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 7.77 | $0.110 | $0.85 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.130 | $1.44 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.270 | $2.1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 22?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.195 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.17 | $0.184 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?Yes | buy | 41.81 | $0.072 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.348 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |