Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | No | 4.28K | $0.770 | $3.15K | -$149.81 |
 Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 105.63 | $0.974 | $102.93 | 28d ago |
 |
| No |
| 611.44 |
| $0.890 |
| $574.45 |
| +$30.38 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 560 | $0.870 | $523.6 | +$36.4 |
 Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | No | 966.54 | $0.880 | $333.46 | -$517.1 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | No | 174.38 | $0.693 | $163.92 | +$43.15 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | No | 63.17 | $0.870 | $61.24 | +$6.29 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 41 | $0.180 | $39.67 | +$32.29 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? | No | 35.81 | $0.200 | $33.88 | +$26.71 |
| sell |
| 1.28K |
| $0.961 |
| $1.23K |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.770 | $795.16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Yes | sell | 690.5 | $0.012 | $8.02 | May 6, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?No | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?No | buy | 63.17 | $0.870 | $54.96 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?No | buy | 41.15 | $0.769 | $31.64 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.880 | $9.87 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.627 | $50.15 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.880 | $880 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 940 | $0.900 | $846 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 837.66 | $0.994 | $832.4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 760 | $0.900 | $684 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 600.22 | $0.890 | $534.2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 700 | $0.920 | $644 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 230.5 | $0.930 | $214.37 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.23K | $0.770 | $2.49K | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.880 | $907.28 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?No | buy | 15.37 | $0.900 | $13.83 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?No | buy | 38 | $0.880 | $33.44 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?No | buy | 9.41 | $0.870 | $8.19 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?No | buy | 113.82 | $0.645 | $73.44 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Yes | buy | 690.5 | $0.079 | $54.36 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.958 | $67.06 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 159.46 | $0.957 | $152.6 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 362 | $0.956 | $346.07 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 246.2 | $0.955 | $235.12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 823 | $0.950 | $781.85 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.985 | $28.57 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No | buy | 43 | $0.986 | $42.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.988 | $14.83 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?No | buy | 100.36 | $0.884 | $88.76 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 560 | $0.870 | $487.2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.720 | $115.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No | buy | 159 | $0.964 | $153.28 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?No | buy | 500.66 | $0.967 | $484.14 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No | buy | 280 | $0.940 | $263.2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.892 | $89.2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 170 | $0.889 | $151.13 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | buy | 84.23 | $0.059 | $4.97 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Nov 23, 2025 |