Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | sell | 5.98 | $0.082 | $0.49 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.11 |
| $0.948 |
| $2.04 |
| +$0.04 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.6 | $0.384 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 1.62 | $0.619 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 4.78 |
| $0.268 |
| $1.28 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.615 | $3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will anyone say "Queen" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E4 S3?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.167 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.833 | $0.97 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.869 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.619 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.102 | $0.31 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.700 | $2.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.209 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.384 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.522 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.152 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Darden Restaurants say "Olive Garden" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |