Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.997 | $12.2 | 20d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 12.21 |
| $0.999 |
| $12.2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No | buy | 111.22 | $0.998 | $111 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 57 million views on day 5?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No | buy | 111.34 | $0.952 | $106 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 106.64 | $0.994 | $106 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 106.11 | $0.998 | $105.9 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No | buy | 105.69 | $0.984 | $104 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 103.21 | $0.998 | $103 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 103.21 | $0.998 | $103 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 103.1 | $0.999 | $103 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 103.63 | $0.993 | $102.9 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 102.1 | $0.999 | $102 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.1 | $0.999 | $102 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 102.09 | $0.999 | $101.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 102.71 | $0.999 | $102.61 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?No | buy | 101.77 | $0.959 | $97.6 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 17?Yes | buy | 98.08 | $0.999 | $97.99 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?No | buy | 98.1 | $0.999 | $98 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 98.09 | $0.999 | $97.99 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 98.1 | $0.999 | $98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 93.44 | $0.995 | $93 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.270 | $1.2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 93.09 | $0.999 | $93 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?No | buy | 94.09 | $0.999 | $94 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?No | buy | 90.18 | $0.998 | $90 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.996 | $3.8 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.960 | $90 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.988 | $2.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 90.52 | $0.939 | $85 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 3?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.995 | $1.7 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 88.2 | $0.986 | $87 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 85.09 | $0.999 | $85 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.969 | $2.6 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 87.63 | $0.999 | $87.54 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 87.54 | $0.999 | $87.45 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 85.35 | $0.999 | $85.26 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.989 | $1.33 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 85.26 | $0.997 | $85 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.913 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 85.17 | $0.998 | $85 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 88.16 | $0.998 | $87.98 | Jan 14, 2026 |