Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 34 | $0.500 | $29.41 | +$12.41 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 19.35 |
| $0.620 |
| $18.1 |
| +$6.1 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 19.05 | $0.315 | $16.24 | +$10.24 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 19.51 | $0.410 | $15.32 | +$7.32 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 16.95 | $0.590 | $14.15 | +$4.15 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 25.1 | $0.239 | $11.55 | +$5.55 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.94 | $0.670 | $10.69 | +$2.69 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 11.9 | $0.420 | $10.18 | +$5.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.11 | $0.610 | $10.16 | +$2.16 |
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | No | 10.13 | $0.790 | $9.85 | +$1.85 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.390 | $9.81 | +$4.81 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | No | 12.65 | $0.474 | $9.68 | +$3.68 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 9.34 | $0.856 | $9.14 | +$1.14 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 21.43 | $0.280 | $8.68 | +$2.68 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.500 | $8.45 | +$3.45 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 21.25 | $0.235 | $8.39 | +$3.39 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 9.09 | $0.550 | $7.86 | +$2.86 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 36.2 | $0.221 | $7.82 | -$0.18 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20.34 | $0.295 | $7.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 16 | $0.250 | $7.6 | +$3.6 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 8.11 | $0.740 | $7.58 | +$1.58 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | No | 8.57 | $0.700 | $7.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.600 | $7.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 11.18 | $0.716 | $7.49 | -$0.51 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 8.06 | $0.620 | $7.22 | +$2.22 |
| buy |
| 8.89 |
| $0.450 |
| $4 |
| 8h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | 8h ago |
 Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | 21h ago |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | 21h ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.496 | $5 | 22h ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | 22h ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.280 | $6 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.040 | $0.73 | 1d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | 2d ago |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.480 | $6 | 2d ago |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.660 | $4 | 3d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 3d ago |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.78 | $0.213 | $4 | 4d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | 4d ago |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.610 | $4 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.330 | $6 | 4d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.040 | $0.28 | 4d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.031 | $0.97 | 5d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | 6d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.024 | $0.37 | 6d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.580 | $4 | 7d ago |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 21.25 | $0.235 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.724 | $4 | 8d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 25.1 | $0.239 | $6 | 8d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 18.1 | $0.733 | $13.27 | 11d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | buy | 15.27 | $0.524 | $8 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 7.44 | $0.672 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 10.67 | $0.750 | $8 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 7.56 | $0.256 | $1.93 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 7.56 | $0.529 | $4 | 12d ago |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.363 | $6.05 | 12d ago |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 20.2 | $0.250 | $5.05 | 12d ago |
 Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Yes | sell | 12.23 | $0.094 | $1.15 | 12d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.94 | $0.670 | $8 | 14d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.520 | $4.9 | 16d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 16d ago |
 SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.480 | $6 | 16d ago |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.180 | $1.5 | 16d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.027 | $0.34 | 16d ago |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4 | 17d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | 19d ago |