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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 14.06 | $0.996 | $13.99 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.06 | $0.996 | $14 | 3d ago |
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| buy |
| 14.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $14 |
| 18d ago |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.999 | $14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.002 | $1.04 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 79.08 | $0.999 | $79 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 78.98 | $0.999 | $78.9 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 78.88 | $0.999 | $78.8 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 78.88 | $0.999 | $78.8 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 78.76 | $0.998 | $78.6 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 78.58 | $0.999 | $78.5 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No | buy | 78.08 | $0.999 | $78 | May 9, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 78.08 | $0.999 | $78 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 78.44 | $0.999 | $78.36 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?No | buy | 924.79 | $0.002 | $1.85 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 23?No | buy | 80.53 | $0.999 | $80.45 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?Yes | buy | 80.45 | $0.999 | $80.37 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?Yes | buy | 646.5 | $0.002 | $1.29 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 8?Yes | buy | 81.89 | $0.999 | $81.81 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 81.82 | $0.999 | $81.74 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 81.74 | $0.999 | $81.66 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 81.65 | $0.999 | $81.57 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No | buy | 81.57 | $0.999 | $81.49 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 81.49 | $0.998 | $81.33 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?No | buy | 81.33 | $0.999 | $81.25 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 81.25 | $0.999 | $81.17 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 81.17 | $0.999 | $81.09 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 58.56 | $0.999 | $58.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 22.52 | $0.888 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 15?No | buy | 78.51 | $0.999 | $78.43 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 9?Yes | buy | 78.43 | $0.999 | $78.35 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 5?Yes | buy | 78.35 | $0.997 | $78.11 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No | buy | 78.11 | $0.999 | $78.03 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 77.08 | $0.999 | $77 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 11?No | buy | 77.96 | $0.999 | $77.88 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?No | buy | 52.85 | $0.999 | $52.8 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 74.79 | $0.999 | $74.72 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 23?No | buy | 74.72 | $0.999 | $74.65 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 17?No | buy | 72.07 | $0.999 | $72 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 17?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.997 | $1.2 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 17?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.995 | $1.1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.999 | $26 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.999 | $27 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 26.08 | $0.997 | $26 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 29?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |