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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 4 | $0.500 | $3.1 | +$1.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 4h ago |
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| No |
| 3.39 |
| $0.590 |
| $2.66 |
| +$0.66 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2.51 | +$0.51 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.800 | $1.94 | -$0.06 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 2.78 | $0.720 | $1.54 | -$0.46 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 8 | $0.250 | $1 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 2.5 |
| $0.800 |
| $2 |
| 14h ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 1d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 2d ago |
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 4d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 4d ago |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?Yes | buy | 3.68 | $0.544 | $2 | 4d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 6d ago |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 6d ago |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?Down | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 9d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 11d ago |
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 12d ago |
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 1?Down | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 12d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 13d ago |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 23d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 25d ago |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 29d ago |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 4?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Palantir say "Insurance" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $147.50 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 28, 2026 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Regulation" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.760 | $1.54 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.540 | $1.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3 | $0.380 | $1.14 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.540 | $1.98 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |