Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.31K | $0.151 | $500 | Mar 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.43K |
| $0.113 |
| $500 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.87K | $0.103 | $500 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.557 | $1K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 743.29 | $0.673 | $500 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 979.73 | $0.510 | $500 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.640 | $533.33 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.600 | $500 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 193.46 | $0.517 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 258.87 | $0.386 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.680 | $1K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.606 | $1K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.26K | $0.998 | $5.25K | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 588.23 | $0.420 | $247.06 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 287.98 | $0.695 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?No | buy | 171.17 | $0.584 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.190 | $500 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.190 | $500 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Men's Final - Canada vs. USAUSA | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.510 | $100 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?No | buy | 34.58 | $0.578 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?No | buy | 36.07 | $0.554 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?No | buy | 34.07 | $0.616 | $21 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?No | buy | 37.26 | $0.537 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?No | buy | 33.81 | $0.592 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?Yes | buy | 9.88 | $0.090 | $0.89 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.170 | $0.91 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.560 | $1.68 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 57.14 | $0.700 | $40 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Yes | buy | 83.32 | $0.240 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 43.4 | $0.461 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 224.87 | $0.445 | $100 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.620 | $40 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 125.31 | $0.399 | $50 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 147.05 | $0.910 | $133.82 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?Yes | buy | 345.78 | $0.087 | $30 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Turkey by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.024 | $70 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.680 | $50 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?Yes | buy | 581.61 | $0.086 | $50 | Sep 16, 2025 |