Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Yes | buy | 932.91 | $0.001 | $0.93 | Aug 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 538.77 |
| $0.002 |
| $1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.07 | $0.039 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 214.29 | $0.007 | $1.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?No | buy | 276 | $0.001 | $0.28 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes | buy | 166.41 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.001 | $1.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes | buy | 77.08 | $0.002 | $0.15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.001 | $1.4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.34 | $0.028 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 135.4 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?No | buy | 281.6 | $0.001 | $0.28 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 430.76 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.219 | $109.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |