Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 141 | $0.540 | $76.14 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 77.44 |
| $0.997 |
| $77.21 |
| Feb 22, 2026 |
 Ackman vs. S&P - JanuaryS&P | buy | 13.27 | $0.151 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 77.45 | $0.465 | $36 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 30.74 | $0.033 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 35.98 | $0.056 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.810 | $10.53 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | sell | 161.89 | $0.115 | $18.62 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.147 | $8.82 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?No | buy | 35 | $0.694 | $24.29 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.148 | $10.36 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | buy | 31.89 | $0.146 | $4.66 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.881 | $8.81 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.358 | $14.32 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.580 | $19.14 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Lebron announce he is returning to Cavaliers Tuesday?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.910 | $6.37 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.823 | $10.7 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| buy | 47.44 | $0.042 | $2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Lebron announce he's retiring Tuesday?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Lebron announce he is returning to Cavaliers Tuesday?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.031 | $2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 159.14 | $0.070 | $11.14 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 68.69 | $0.210 | $14.42 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 570 | $0.070 | $39.9 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Yes | buy | 243 | $0.130 | $31.59 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.170 | $14.45 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.160 | $43.2 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.340 | $20.4 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.360 | $21.6 | Mar 30, 2025 |