Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1K | $0.850 | $865 | +$15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 186.11 |
| $0.537 |
| $100 |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 876.45 | $0.913 | $800 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 144.23 | $0.520 | $75 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.375 | $187.5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | buy | 279.34 | $0.460 | $128.5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.933 | $466.5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 575.37 | $0.869 | $500 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.810 | $405 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | sell | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will turnout be less than 900000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 100 | $0.993 | $99.28 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will turnout be less than 900000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | buy | 100 | $0.299 | $29.9 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 434.68 | $0.026 | $11.47 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Loren Taylor win the Oakland mayoral race?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.270 | $67.5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 393.08 | $0.127 | $50 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 518.13 | $0.965 | $500 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 301.2 | $0.830 | $250 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?Yes | sell | 59.52 | $0.850 | $50.59 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 250 | $0.330 | $82.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 400 | $0.328 | $131.17 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?No | sell | 500 | $0.095 | $47.49 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 371.77 | $0.760 | $282.55 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.085 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 430.1 | $0.581 | $250 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans | buy | 310.1 | $0.967 | $300 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?No | buy | 260.42 | $0.960 | $250 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 301.45 | $0.332 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.671 | $8.39 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | buy | 85.11 | $0.470 | $40 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?No | buy | 297.62 | $0.840 | $250 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?No | sell | 56.81 | $0.929 | $52.77 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 113.63 | $0.992 | $112.72 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Maine's 2nd congressional district?Yes | sell | 354.72 | $0.072 | $25.41 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 446.43 | $0.400 | $178.69 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 813.17 | $0.383 | $311.44 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans | buy | 304.88 | $0.820 | $250 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?No | buy | 361.45 | $0.830 | $300 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Maine's 2nd congressional district?Yes | buy | 354.72 | $0.141 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |