Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 111.43 | $0.300 | $33.43 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 30.64 |
| $0.163 |
| $5 |
| Oct 27, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?Yes | buy | 41.53 | $0.570 | $23.67 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.900 | $23.68 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 65.13 | $0.230 | $14.98 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?No | buy | 18.74 | $0.267 | $5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.570 | $15 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 49.62 | $0.202 | $10 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.865 | $1.32 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | sell | 10.18 | $0.996 | $10.14 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.993 | $1.28 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 4.22 | $0.947 | $4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 4.91 | $0.956 | $4.69 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.018 | $0.36 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.246 | $4.24 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Obvious" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 164.95 | $0.788 | $130 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5.91K | $0.022 | $130.09 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.91K | $0.023 | $136 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 86.95 | $0.022 | $1.91 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.130 | $135.55 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.318 | $6.35 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 864.13 | $0.058 | $50 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 China coup attempt in 2025?No | sell | 80 | $0.920 | $73.6 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?Yes | buy | 122.2 | $0.082 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Jul 22, 2025 |