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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | Yes | 7.41 | $0.270 | $4.78 | +$2.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 4.08 |
| $0.490 |
| $3.16 |
| +$1.16 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2.5 | +$0.5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.92 | +$0.34 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.86 | $0.490 | $0.83 | -$1.06 |
| buy |
| 2.7 |
| $0.740 |
| $2 |
| 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.86 | $0.490 | $1.89 | 10d ago |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.573 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?Up | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.707 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.730 | $1.85 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.730 | $1.85 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.690 | $1.96 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.71 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |