Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.11 |
| $0.950 |
| $2.09 |
| +$0.09 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 2.21 | $0.905 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | No | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.970 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.04 | $0.959 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 1 |
| $0.999 |
| $1 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Eric Adams arrested by March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 15.56 | $0.964 | $15 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Eric Adams arrested by March 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Netanyahu arrested by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Nipah virus in US by March 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |