Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | sell | 11.4 | $0.967 | $11.02 | May 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 15.6 |
| $0.830 |
| $12.95 |
| May 5, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 47.72 | $0.310 | $14.79 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?No | sell | 54 | $0.810 | $43.74 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.67 | $0.740 | $24.92 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | sell | 138.45 | $0.130 | $18 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 105 | $0.130 | $13.65 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 69.73 | $0.360 | $25.1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes | sell | 32.95 | $0.130 | $4.28 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 20.86 | $0.370 | $7.72 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 18.66 | $0.380 | $7.09 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 26 | $0.360 | $9.36 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.044 | $0.22 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | sell | 48.36 | $0.170 | $8.22 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 103.88 | $0.150 | $15.58 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.120 | $6.36 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 497.9 | $0.003 | $1.49 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | sell | 13.44 | $0.400 | $5.38 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?No | sell | 36.97 | $0.740 | $27.36 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 876.74 | $0.004 | $3.51 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 13.36 | $0.180 | $2.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes | sell | 236 | $0.120 | $28.32 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.005 | $0.02 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 72.8 | $0.060 | $4.37 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 13.9 | $0.840 | $11.68 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 26.34 | $0.840 | $22.13 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 72.8 | $0.080 | $5.82 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?No | sell | 136.84 | $0.047 | $6.4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 45.79 | $0.180 | $8.24 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 252.18 | $0.330 | $83.22 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 50.7 | $0.360 | $18.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 48.64 | $0.370 | $18 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?No | buy | 36.98 | $0.730 | $27 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 18.27 | $0.680 | $12.42 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 181.73 | $0.320 | $58.15 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 74.25 | $0.820 | $60.89 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.43 | $0.360 | $14.19 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.43 | $0.360 | $14.19 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.64 | $0.220 | $10.04 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?No | sell | 5.56 | $0.042 | $0.23 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.27 | $0.220 | $9.96 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | sell | 223.5 | $0.471 | $105.27 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?No | sell | 51 | $0.480 | $24.48 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?No | sell | 65 | $0.450 | $29.25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | sell | 100.32 | $0.040 | $4.01 | Jan 29, 2026 |