Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by November 30?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.991 | $2.89 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.01 |
| $0.994 |
| $2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.999 | $5.86 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.999 | $17 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 23.86 | $0.998 | $23.81 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?No | buy | 23.14 | $0.994 | $23 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?No | buy | 15.52 | $0.999 | $15.5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Solana above $150 on June 13?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.890 | $2.5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 13?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.984 | $7.5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.941 | $11.8 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?No | buy | 12.27 | $0.937 | $11.5 | May 28, 2025 |
 Cavaliers vs. HeatCavaliers | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high in April?No | buy | 23.02 | $0.999 | $23 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Another crypto hack over $1b before April?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.999 | $13 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Solana all time high by January 31?No | sell | 291.75 | $0.984 | $287.02 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?No | sell | 172.69 | $0.872 | $150.64 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?Yes | sell | 140.7 | $0.988 | $138.98 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 24-31?Yes | buy | 171.29 | $0.438 | $75 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?No | buy | 172.7 | $0.898 | $155 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Solana all time high by January 31?No | buy | 291.75 | $0.994 | $290 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 140.71 | $0.995 | $140 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 12.35 | $0.870 | $10.74 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.890 | $11 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?No | sell | 36.23 | $0.700 | $25.36 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 33.49 | $0.890 | $29.81 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 33.49 | $0.890 | $29.81 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?No | buy | 36.23 | $0.690 | $25 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.975 | $12 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 98.54 | $0.678 | $66.81 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 57.78 | $0.679 | $39.24 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | sell | 31.39 | $0.839 | $26.34 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?Yes | sell | 36.87 | $0.350 | $12.9 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 40.76 | $0.667 | $27.19 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 31.4 | $0.860 | $27 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?Yes | buy | 36.88 | $0.407 | $15 | Dec 20, 2024 |