Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.730 | $219 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.660 |
| $198 |
| Mar 22, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.530 | $1.95 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.400 | $200 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?No | buy | 136.57 | $0.842 | $115 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 251.66 | $0.795 | $200 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.981 | $3.92K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 70.33 | $0.840 | $59.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 541.34 | $0.800 | $433.07 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 213.51 | $0.780 | $166.54 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 1K | $0.719 | $721.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 631.32 | $0.580 | $366.47 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?No | buy | 150 | $0.570 | $85.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?No | sell | 90 | $0.510 | $45.9 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 150 | $0.830 | $124.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?No | buy | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.450 | $13.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 150 | $0.820 | $123 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.450 | $67.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.520 | $77.48 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.500 | $75 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?No | sell | 150 | $0.490 | $73.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 147 | $0.800 | $117.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?No | sell | 30 | $0.560 | $16.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 150 | $0.810 | $121.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down on February 27?Up | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.490 | $31.85 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.490 | $73.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.510 | $30.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Up | sell | 52 | $0.220 | $11.44 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?No | sell | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?No | sell | 20.31 | $0.460 | $9.34 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?No | buy | 150 | $0.480 | $72 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 300 | $0.630 | $189 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down on February 27?Up | buy | 8.93 | $0.440 | $3.93 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.780 | $115.44 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 80 | $0.500 | $40 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 280 | $0.440 | $123.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?Down | sell | 153 | $0.470 | $71.91 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?Down | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Feb 27, 2026 |