Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-China trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | May 10, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.36 |
| $0.440 |
| $5 |
| Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Mahmoud Khalil be deported before July?Yes | buy | 26.7 | $0.187 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Trump positive approval on May 1?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will the US sanction Russia before May?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 US lifts Russia sanctions before April?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will the US sanction Russia before May?No | buy | 13.58 | $0.516 | $7 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Trump positive approval on May 1?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.380 | $2.5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?Yes | buy | 14.75 | $0.339 | $5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.560 | $7 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?No | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Bybit insolvent in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Bybit withdrawals halted for >24 hours before April?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent before April?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will the US sanction Ukraine before April?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Trump negative approval before April?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Feb 4, 2025 |