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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.375 | $12.23 | +$2.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.082 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 31.91 |
| $0.188 |
| $7.68 |
| +$1.68 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 53.19 | $0.094 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 8.33 | $0.600 | $3.96 | -$1.04 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 11.86 | $0.421 | $1.6 | -$3.4 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | Yes | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.650 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.38 | $0.591 | $0.45 | -$1.55 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
Anthropic acquired before 2027? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.650 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 60.98 | $0.082 | $0.09 | -$4.91 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 2.86 |
| $0.350 |
| $1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 95.74 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.819 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.200 | $0.94 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.95 | $0.048 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 24.11 | $0.041 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes | buy | 2.87 | $0.330 | $0.95 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.610 | $0.97 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.154 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.591 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.094 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 31.91 | $0.188 | $6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.86 | $0.422 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |