Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 40.72 | $0.860 | $39.15 | +$4.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 19.54 | $0.870 | $17 | Dec 11, 2025 |
|
| Yes |
| 14.93 |
| $0.670 |
| $13.06 |
| +$3.06 |
| buy |
| 21.18 |
| $0.850 |
| $18 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Spain snap election called in 2025?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Another Canada election called in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.31 | $0.134 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Ukraine election called in 2025?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.614 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.069 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Democrats win no elections in Nov?Yes | buy | 256.75 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No | buy | 12.73 | $0.550 | $7 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 116.63 | $0.171 | $20 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 90 | $0.200 | $18 | Aug 6, 2025 |