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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.180 | $1.61K | +$1.25K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.940 | $15.04 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2K |
| $0.430 |
| $1.05K |
| +$190 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.66K | $0.056 | $519.54 | +$149.27 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 500 | $0.480 | $312.5 | +$72.5 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 330 | $0.481 | $195.36 | +$36.66 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 220.91 | $0.635 | $184.46 | +$44.22 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 573.06 | $0.286 | $117.48 | -$46.44 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 302.38 | $0.319 | $89.2 | -$7.31 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 237.26 | $0.330 | $29.66 | -$48.64 |
| Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30? | Yes | 16 | $0.940 | $15.89 | +$0.85 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 44.61 | $0.910 | $9.59 | -$31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 108.62 | $0.140 | $0.05 | -$15.15 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.480 |
| $240 |
| 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.481 | $158.7 | 19d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 399.74 | $0.683 | $272.82 | 19d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 40.04 | $0.999 | $40 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 35 | $0.153 | $5.36 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | 28d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.91 | $0.585 | $12.24 | 28d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 88.59 | $0.471 | $41.73 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 84.78 | $0.471 | $39.93 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 750 | $0.260 | $195 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 237.26 | $0.330 | $78.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 980.49 | $0.961 | $942.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 13.06 | $0.330 | $4.31 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 108.62 | $0.140 | $15.21 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 44.61 | $0.910 | $40.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.950 | $76 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.988 | $39.51 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 16.98 | $0.606 | $10.29 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 346.1 | $0.030 | $10.38 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | buy | 17.38 | $0.621 | $10.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.720 | $720 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 217 | $0.500 | $108.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 302.38 | $0.319 | $96.52 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 9.93 | $0.450 | $4.47 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.799 | $599.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | buy | 49.76 | $0.140 | $6.97 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces AND Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm | buy | 11.5 | $0.864 | $9.93 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Spread: Athletics (-2.5) AND Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | buy | 19.31 | $0.505 | $9.76 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 354.24 | $0.656 | $232.38 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 15.48 | $0.140 | $2.17 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 35.69 | $0.400 | $14.28 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Yes | buy | 11.21 | $0.199 | $2.24 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 999.99 | $0.234 | $234 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 75 | $0.690 | $51.75 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the earnings call not air?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 269.25 | $0.620 | $166.94 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 442.75 | $0.620 | $274.51 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 43.94 | $0.314 | $13.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 400 | $0.519 | $207.6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals Playoffs AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 | buy | 12.16 | $0.900 | $10.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | Jul 27, 2026 |