Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | 24d ago |
 |
kosmarian is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,551,680 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of Sep 13, 8:30 PM the record shows -$86.55 observed lifetime PnL, $21.28K of traded volume, 128 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 64.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x997fd12cc6d9e4225c2867690f7b5a41c4b5ad39
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 10.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $10 |
| +$0 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 10.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $10 |
| 24d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 20?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | 24d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 19?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 19?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | 25d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?No | buy | 100.29 | $0.996 | $99.9 | 26d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 17?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.979 | $98 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 15?Yes | buy | 109.1 | $0.013 | $1.4 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 15?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.992 | $99.3 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?No | buy | 100.59 | $0.994 | $100 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 8?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 7?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 7?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 6?No | buy | 101.91 | $0.854 | $87 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 5?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.193 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 5?No | buy | 100.51 | $0.985 | $99 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4?Yes | buy | 239.58 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4?No | buy | 100.33 | $0.979 | $98.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 on June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 28?No | buy | 99.8 | $0.985 | $98.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 22?Yes | buy | 139.7 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 22?No | buy | 99.91 | $0.999 | $99.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 16?Yes | buy | 117.73 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 16?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.997 | $99.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15?Yes | buy | 105.89 | $0.018 | $1.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.990 | $99.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10?No | buy | 39.13 | $0.920 | $36 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10?No | buy | 98.92 | $0.930 | $92 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 9?Yes | buy | 181 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 9?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 8?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 8?No | buy | 100.09 | $0.999 | $99.99 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.994 | $99.5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 2?Yes | buy | 102.09 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 2?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 26?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 26?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 on May 25?Yes | buy | 32.25 | $0.031 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $75 on May 25?No | buy | 100.22 | $0.998 | $100 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 23?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.014 | $1.5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 23?No | buy | 100.17 | $0.998 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 21?Yes | buy | 108.75 | $0.012 | $1.3 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 21?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?Yes | buy | 184.17 | $0.005 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 16?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.