Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 22.29K | $0.854 | $21.12K | +$2.08K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 2.47K | $0.810 | $2K | 9h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.53K |
| $0.870 |
| $11.84K |
| +$67.65 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10K | $0.933 | $9.65K | +$315 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 9.55K | $0.899 | $9.28K | +$693.9 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 5K | $0.810 | $4.08K | +$25.01 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 5K | $0.800 | $4.03K | +$25.02 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 2.4K | $0.931 | $2.32K | +$91.8 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.520 | $916.94 | +$8.73 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 168.61 | $0.220 | $29.51 | -$7.59 |
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.910 | $22.88 | +$0.13 |
| buy |
| 2.05K |
| $0.800 |
| $1.64K |
| 9h ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 15K | $0.850 | $12.75K | 10d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 7.91K | $0.998 | $7.9K | 11d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.986 | $1.23K | 25d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 202.07 | $0.986 | $199.24 | 26d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 8.74K | $0.983 | $8.59K | 26d ago |
 Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes | buy | 625.62 | $0.978 | $611.56 | 27d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 157.83 | $0.928 | $146.47 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 13.53K | $0.870 | $11.77K | 29d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20K | $0.600 | $12K | 29d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 4.65K | $0.410 | $1.91K | 29d ago |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 4.16K | $0.570 | $2.37K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.939 | $9.39K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 552.54 | $0.740 | $408.88 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Yes | buy | 4.46K | $0.022 | $97.44 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Yes | buy | 6.23K | $0.011 | $68.53 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.996 | $9.96K | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 487.06 | $0.180 | $87.67 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 2.39K | $0.170 | $405.55 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 454.64 | $0.240 | $109.11 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.31K | $0.810 | $7.54K | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 7.97K | $0.975 | $7.77K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 8K | $0.975 | $7.8K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No | buy | 211.22 | $0.977 | $206.36 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 2.28K | $0.330 | $751.1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 694.93 | $0.152 | $105.65 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.220 | $440 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 233.57 | $0.320 | $74.74 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.319 | $1.6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 197.36 | $0.550 | $108.55 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.622 | $621.76 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 453.13 | $0.958 | $434.1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 5K | $0.910 | $4.55K | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.998 | $0.39 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes | buy | 5.48K | $0.998 | $5.47K | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.3K | $0.100 | $330 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.27K | $0.104 | $235.75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.215 | $150.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 7.8K | $0.957 | $7.46K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.800 | $1.78K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.270 | $312.33 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.849 | $8.49K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.01K | $0.834 | $3.35K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.810 | $61.37 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.194 | $969.44 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.185 | $923.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.82K | $0.865 | $4.17K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.838 | $850.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |