Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 9.25 | $0.540 | $7.45 | +$2.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 31?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.220 | $9.36 | 15d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 8.19 |
| $0.610 |
| $7.04 |
| +$2.04 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 8.47 | $0.590 | $6.73 | +$1.74 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 8.19 | $0.610 | $6.39 | +$1.39 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.75 | $0.740 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | No | 6.75 | $0.740 | $4.86 | -$0.14 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.85 | -$0.15 |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays | 11.36 | $0.430 | $4.83 | -$0.06 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 6.84 | $0.730 | $4.48 | -$0.51 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | No | 9.43 | $0.530 | $4.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.800 | $4.09 | -$0.91 |
 Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 7.03 | $0.711 | $4.07 | -$0.92 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | Yes | 16.12 | $0.310 | $3.79 | -$1.21 |
 Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | Yes | 5 | $0.162 | $2.54 | +$1.73 |
 Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections? | No | 20 | $0.076 | $0.84 | -$0.68 |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 6.75 | $0.740 | $0.28 | -$4.72 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $0.05 | -$4.96 |
| buy |
| 46.51 |
| $0.220 |
| $10.23 |
| 17d ago |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 26?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.420 | $3.62 | 18d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 25?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | 19d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 24?No | buy | 27.02 | $0.343 | $9.26 | 20d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $465 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 32.78 | $0.290 | $9.51 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 17.69 | $0.560 | $9.91 | 22d ago |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 31.74 | $0.290 | $9.2 | 23d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 14.03 | $0.710 | $9.96 | 23d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on August 20?Yes | buy | 32.98 | $0.300 | $9.89 | 23d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.048 | $0.96 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.049 | $0.98 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | sell | 28.44 | $0.947 | $26.93 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | sell | 11.56 | $0.948 | $10.96 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.9 | $0.560 | $7.22 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.320 | $0.36 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.841 | $16.82 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?No | sell | 17.23 | $0.420 | $7.24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?No | sell | 8.42 | $0.410 | $3.45 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?No | sell | 12 | $0.350 | $4.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?No | sell | 6.85 | $0.360 | $2.47 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?No | sell | 7.17 | $0.370 | $2.65 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?No | sell | 32 | $0.380 | $12.16 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.712 | $14.23 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?No | sell | 0.83 | $0.420 | $0.35 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.350 | $21 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - July 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.54 | $0.700 | $2.48 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.08 | $0.640 | $3.25 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp | buy | 5.23 | $0.220 | $1.15 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown | buy | 5.07 | $0.670 | $3.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.07 | $0.750 | $3.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp | buy | 5.83 | $0.180 | $1.05 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown | buy | 5.2 | $0.250 | $1.3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 12.35 | $0.230 | $2.84 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Jul 26, 2026 |