Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?Yes | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.78 |
| $0.720 |
| $2 |
| Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.510 | $1.04 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.953 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.410 | $1.95 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.007 | $0.03 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.040 | $0.33 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.890 | $4.62 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 5.44 | $0.930 | $5.06 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.880 | $4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Rockets vs. NuggetsRockets | sell | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | sell | 3.06 | $0.140 | $0.43 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Rockets vs. NuggetsRockets | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 3.41 | $0.950 | $3.24 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.170 | $0.8 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 17?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 17?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.962 | $3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.735 | $4.2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 37.5 | $0.090 | $3.38 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 15?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.970 | $2.98 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 10.97 | $0.920 | $10.09 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 6.49 | $0.800 | $5.19 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.470 | $3.36 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | sell | 4.04 | $0.987 | $3.99 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Pieter Mulier be named the next creative director of Versace?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.280 | $0.46 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 12?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.660 | $1.91 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 8-14?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |