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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 83.33 |
| $0.048 |
| $4 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.005 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?No | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.043 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be another combination?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.013 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be another combination?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.012 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Yes | buy | 235.51 | $0.170 | $40 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionNo | buy | 357.14 | $0.042 | $15 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 394.74 | $0.038 | $15 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.013 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Yes | buy | 707.3 | $0.141 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.016 | $25 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.018 | $25 | Dec 9, 2025 |