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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 2.65 | $0.890 | $2.32 | -$0.04 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.920 | $2.34 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.54 |
| $0.920 |
| $2.3 |
| -$0.04 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.24 | $0.957 | $2.23 | +$0.09 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.29 | $0.950 | $2.22 | +$0.04 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 2.14 | $0.937 | $2.08 | +$0.07 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1.6 | $0.910 | $1.55 | +$0.09 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.28 | $0.877 | $0.93 | -$1.07 |
| buy |
| 2.29 |
| $0.950 |
| $2.18 |
| 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.890 | $2.36 | 13d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.910 | $1.46 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.970 | $2.48 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.877 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.957 | $2.14 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.977 | $1.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.840 | $1.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.937 | $2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.929 | $6.1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.530 | $1.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.990 | $5.29 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.84 | $0.969 | $5.66 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.665 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 |